Pierre Thomas jerseys, NO. No, I didn't forget to take my medicine. Pierre is in the perfect situation to excel this season. Primary back in an massively effective offense. Loss of Mike Bell and lack of other veteran backs being brought in means that Thomas will receive plenty of carries and opportunities. His 5.4 yards per carry suggest so. The best thing in Pierre's favor this season was the Saints refusal to sign him to a long-term lucrative contract. He has to play for his supper, so to speak, and has a plenty big chip on his shoulder and plenty to prove. I wouldn't draft him this early, because he'll likely fall into your early third round, but backs like Thomas make it much easier to draft receivers and other positions early on draft day.
DeAngelo Williams, CAR. When healthy, Williams is the primary ball carrier for a team that knows how to grind out the rushing stats. Even if he somehow fell behind upstart Jonathan Stewart and became second fiddle, Williams would still produce over 1,000 yards and double-digit TDs. Stewart did just that in the RB2 role last year. Plus, I have a feeling the Panthers run Williams into the ground before losing him to free agency next year. Just a hunch.
Rashard Mendenhall, PIT. Young back who could become elite this season, he also has a lot of red flags attached to his fantasy value in 2010. Loss of Big Ben to suspension means that the offense will be feeding the ball a lot to Mendenhall … but it also means that defenses will be keying on him. Mendenhall had some inconsistency issues from week to week last season, although his final stats were impressive considering he wasn't starting for the first quarter of the regular season. Still, his potential tied with the Steelers return to run-first football is a combination worth taking a risk on.
Steven Jackson, STL. There is no reason to think that Jackson won't continue to produce despite the mediocrity around him. Like Barry Sanders, Jackson makes the most out of his situation and shines. The Rams will be spoon-feeding Sam Bradford as much as possible, meaning a heavy reliance on the running game once again.
Michael Turner jerseys, ATL. I am not a Turner aficionado from a fantasy standpoint, and this is not a PPR ranking, but it is hard to discount what Turner can do when focused and ready to prove his critics wrong. Reports state that Turner basically lived at the Falcons practice facility this off-season and is in excellent shape. This all combined with what I feel will be a very nice bounce-back season for Matt Ryan and the Atlanta passing game, and Turner shouldn't slip too far on your draft board.
Frank Gore, SF. Age and injuries seem to have a better handle on how to slow Gore than opposing defenses. When he plays, he is a homerun threat. The Niners have a cupcake schedule, and Gore will be used plenty throughout the season.
Adrian Peterson, MIN. Not sure why I feel so strongly that Peterson will see a drop in stats … but every time Peterson fumbled, especially in the playoffs, I kept having violent flashbacks to Steve Slaton fumbling away my 2009 fantasy hopes. Brett Favre's presence keeps defenses more honest, and Peterson is still worthy of a top pick. I just worry that the fumbles and his bruising style of running will eventuall catch up to him. That's why I suggested, in one post, to consider trading Adrian Peterson in dynasty leagues .
Ray Rice jerseys, BAL. The key to Rice's coming-out party in 2009 was his excessively impressive off-season work habits. This off-season? The Ravens are saying he's done even more and is one of the best conditioned backs in the league. We high school football people know that good conditioning is the best way to avoid injury. Some question whether some of Rice's receptions will be lost to newcomer Anquan Boldin, but even if he loses some catches, his incredible 9.0 yards per reception and respectable 5.3 yards per carry will keep Rice at the top of the rankings for the foreseeable future.
Chris Johnson jerseys, TEN. The Titans did nothing major to bring in another back to spell Johnson. In fact, they got rid of LenDale White and brought in an even more questionable commodity in rookie LaGarrett Blount. I still worry about him replicating even a part of his amazing 2009 stats, but the upside makes it hard to pass at him at this slot.
Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX. Seeing his workload increase from 197 carries to 312, and being the only focal point of a team lacking star power, Jones-Drew continues to produce consistently impressive numbers totally under the radar. Chris Johnson hasn't proven he can maintain the sick pace he showed us last season. Adrian Peterson has a knack for dropping the pigskin, and rookie Toby Gerhart will take every opportunity he can get to show that he's the reliable goal-line option when Peterson struggles with more dropsies.


3. The Ravens finally have a big-name receiver to catch the ball. The addition of
4. The Packers must protect quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who was sacked 57 times last season. Rodgers is turning into one of the premier QBs in the game and can lead this team to a championship if given the chance by his offensive line. Green Bay also has the luxury of playing Buffalo, Chicago and Detroit in three of the first four games.
5. The Cowboys clearly are the favorites to win the NFC East this year with their weapons on the defensive line and the array of talent ready to catch passes from Tony Romo.
7. Many are giving the Jets the AFC East before the season starts after the great offseason additions. But there are many question marks surrounding this team. Replacing Thomas Jones will be a difficult task. How will LaDainian Tomlinson perform in the cold weather? Can Mark Sanchez lead a team to a Super Bowl in just his second year?
8. Chargers GM A.J. Smith said he expects star receiver Vincent Jackson to hold out until Week 10. Philip Rivers is one of the best QBs in the game but doesn't have a lot of options when throwing the ball. Starting left tackle Marcus McNeill is holding out as well and it doesn't look like that issue is going to be resolved anytime soon.
9. The key to the Patriots' success in 2010 will be whether the defense has improved since 2009. Rushing the passer will be essential for New England to be successful this year. It will be interesting to see if rookies Jermaine Cunningham and Brandon Spikes will be able to make valuable contributions to the front seven.
11. Matt Ryan's play dropped off in '09, but that quite possibly could have been as a result of the poor running game the Falcons had. A healthier and rejuvenated Michael Turner should solve that problem. I fully expect Atlanta to compete for a playoff spot in 2010.
12. Miami has added some great talent on both sides of the ball with Brandon Marshall and Karlos Dansby, but Chad Henne still is an unproven quarterback who needs to demonstrate he can win games.
13. With Ben Roethlisberger suspended for 4-6 games, the window of opportunity for the Bengals to make it to the playoffs for a second straight year is very good. Rey Maualuga is just one of the leaders on a defense that should improve again in 2010.
14. It will be difficult for the Steelers to have a successful 2010 season with star QB Ben Roethlisberger suspended. Not only will they have to break in a new quarterback for the start of the season, but they'll also be battling in a division with a much improved Ravens team and a solid Bengals squad.
15. John Fox will be fighting for his job this season and could be one of the first coaches fired if the Panthers don't get off to a solid start.
16. The retirement of the Cardinals' Kurt Warner means the 49ers are the favorites to win the NFC West, a feat the organization hasn't accomplished since 2002. With the Niners possessing one of the best defensive players in the game in Patrick Willis, and tons of playmakers on the offense (Frank Gore, Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree), the NFC West is theirs to lose.
17. The Texans will be one of the most interesting teams to watch in 2010. They finished their '09 campaign with the first winning season in franchise history, rattling off four straight wins and just missing the playoffs. However, the suspension of Brian Cushing and the discontent with Andre Johnson could be too much of a distraction to overcome in Houston.
18. There's relief in Tennessee, as Chris Johnson and the Titans have agreed in principle to a new contract. Never doubt the capabilities of Jeff Fisher. This team could surprise many this year.
19. If the Eagles couldn't get it done with
20. Any time a team trades for a six-time Pro Bowl quarterback, who has played in 16 playoff games, you know that team is headed in the right direction. Led by Mike Shanahan and Donovan McNabb, the Redskins now have an asset on their team they haven't had in a long time — players and coaches that offer leadership and have experience winning. Don't overlook the upgrades this team has made to its offensive line as well, adding Trent Williams and Jammal Brown.
21. The Seahawks had a very productive offseason, drafting players who can immediately make an impact on the team. The key to the team's success has always been protecting Matt Hasselbeck, and by drafting Russell Okung to do just that on the offensive line, it will greatly improve Seattle's chances of competing for a division title.
22. Not quite sure what to make of Josh McDaniels yet. In his one full season as Denver coach he has traded Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall and drafted Tim Tebow. Whether they are good moves or not … well, we'll see.
23. The start of the 2010 season means it's time for David Garrard to step up and prove he is more than just a mediocre quarterback. Ownership has made it clear it is expecting a playoff berth this season, so the heat is on for Jack Del Rio and Garrard to produce.
24. The loss of Kurt Warner and Anquan Boldin will be too much for the Cardinals offense to recover from.
25. All eyes will be on Jay Cutler this season after a poor first year in Chicago, when he threw 26 interceptions and turned the ball over in the red zone repeatedly.
26. The Lions are finally doing things a little differently in Detroit and are adding solid talent to key positions. Kyle Vanden Bosch and first-round draft selection Ndamukong Suh makes up for a very solid defensive line. Detroit could be a team that surprises many and rattles off seven or eight wins.
28. The Raiders finally gave up on JaMarcus Russell and replaced him with a competent quarterback who can help the team win games. However, Tom Cable lacks the leadership qualities a coach should have.
29. The Browns offense can't get much worse than it was in '09, but an improvement is not likely. Eric Mangini will be fighting for his job all season.
31. The youth movement in Tampa Bay doesn't excite fans now but could very well in the future. With young talented players including Josh Freeman, Gerald McCoy and Brian Price, the Bucs could be in a prime spot to compete in two or three years.
32. St. Louis and Sam Bradford are on the verge of making history by reportedly signing a contract giving Bradford the most guaranteed money in NFL history. Still, the Rams have a long way to go to being the "Greatest Show on Turf" again.